<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<rss version="2.0" xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom" xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/">
  <channel>
    <title>Forem: Ollie Parish</title>
    <description>The latest articles on Forem by Ollie Parish (@ollieparish).</description>
    <link>https://forem.com/ollieparish</link>
    <image>
      <url>https://media2.dev.to/dynamic/image/width=90,height=90,fit=cover,gravity=auto,format=auto/https:%2F%2Fdev-to-uploads.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fuploads%2Fuser%2Fprofile_image%2F3794832%2Fa449db72-ebab-456b-9635-6d894682e23f.png</url>
      <title>Forem: Ollie Parish</title>
      <link>https://forem.com/ollieparish</link>
    </image>
    <atom:link rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" href="https://forem.com/feed/ollieparish"/>
    <language>en</language>
    <item>
      <title>Excited to share my deep dive into TDT - the Token-and-Duration Transducer - the mechanism behind Nvidia's Parakeet models that dominate the Huggingface Open ASR Leaderboard at 3x the speed of the nearest competition. 🏎️ 🏎️</title>
      <dc:creator>Ollie Parish</dc:creator>
      <pubDate>Wed, 04 Mar 2026 12:54:13 +0000</pubDate>
      <link>https://forem.com/ollieparish/excited-to-share-my-deep-dive-into-tdt-the-token-and-duration-transducer-the-mechanism-behind-2a3h</link>
      <guid>https://forem.com/ollieparish/excited-to-share-my-deep-dive-into-tdt-the-token-and-duration-transducer-the-mechanism-behind-2a3h</guid>
      <description>&lt;div class="ltag__link"&gt;
  &lt;a href="/ollieparish" class="ltag__link__link"&gt;
    &lt;div class="ltag__link__pic"&gt;
      &lt;img src="https://media2.dev.to/dynamic/image/width=800%2Cheight=%2Cfit=scale-down%2Cgravity=auto%2Cformat=auto/https%3A%2F%2Fdev-to-uploads.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fuploads%2Fuser%2Fprofile_image%2F3794832%2Fa449db72-ebab-456b-9635-6d894682e23f.png" alt="ollieparish"&gt;
    &lt;/div&gt;
  &lt;/a&gt;
  &lt;a href="https://dev.to/ollieparish/understanding-tdt-the-mechanism-behind-the-fastest-models-on-the-open-asr-leaderboard-4o82" class="ltag__link__link"&gt;
    &lt;div class="ltag__link__content"&gt;
      &lt;h2&gt;Understanding TDT: The Mechanism Behind the Fastest Models on the Open ASR Leaderboard&lt;/h2&gt;
      &lt;h3&gt;Ollie Parish ・ Mar 4&lt;/h3&gt;
      &lt;div class="ltag__link__taglist"&gt;
        &lt;span class="ltag__link__tag"&gt;#ai&lt;/span&gt;
        &lt;span class="ltag__link__tag"&gt;#discuss&lt;/span&gt;
        &lt;span class="ltag__link__tag"&gt;#machinelearning&lt;/span&gt;
        &lt;span class="ltag__link__tag"&gt;#learning&lt;/span&gt;
      &lt;/div&gt;
    &lt;/div&gt;
  &lt;/a&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;


</description>
      <category>ai</category>
      <category>discuss</category>
      <category>machinelearning</category>
      <category>learning</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Understanding TDT: The Mechanism Behind the Fastest Models on the Open ASR Leaderboard</title>
      <dc:creator>Ollie Parish</dc:creator>
      <pubDate>Wed, 04 Mar 2026 12:36:50 +0000</pubDate>
      <link>https://forem.com/ollieparish/understanding-tdt-the-mechanism-behind-the-fastest-models-on-the-open-asr-leaderboard-4o82</link>
      <guid>https://forem.com/ollieparish/understanding-tdt-the-mechanism-behind-the-fastest-models-on-the-open-asr-leaderboard-4o82</guid>
      <description>&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;TL;DR:&lt;/strong&gt; The Token-and-Duration Transducer (TDT) extends RNN-T by jointly predicting &lt;em&gt;what&lt;/em&gt; token to emit and &lt;em&gt;how many frames&lt;/em&gt; that token covers. This lets the model skip multiple encoder frames per step during inference instead of advancing one at a time, yielding up to 2.82x faster decoding with comparable or better accuracy.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Word Error Rate (WER) is a useful metric to try to optimise, but if your model takes 10 seconds to transcribe 1 second of audio, nobody's shipping it. The &lt;a href="https://huggingface.co/spaces/hf-audio/open_asr_leaderboard" rel="noopener noreferrer"&gt;Huggingface Open ASR Leaderboard&lt;/a&gt; tracks both accuracy &lt;em&gt;and&lt;/em&gt; speed. At the time of writing, in the huggingface top 10, &lt;strong&gt;Nvidia's Parakeet TDT models&lt;/strong&gt; are more than &lt;strong&gt;3x&lt;/strong&gt; ahead of the nearest competition in &lt;strong&gt;RTFx&lt;/strong&gt; (Inverse Real Time Factor/Throughput, i.e. how many seconds of audio the model can process per second of wall-clock time).&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;These models are significantly faster than the competition while maintaining competitive WERs. The mechanism? A modification to the RNN-Transducer called the &lt;strong&gt;Token-and-Duration Transducer (TDT)&lt;/strong&gt;. In this post, we'll first look at how RNN-T and TDT work at inference time to build intuition for &lt;em&gt;why&lt;/em&gt; TDT is faster, then circle back to explain how each model is trained.&lt;/p&gt;




&lt;h2&gt;
  
  
  Part 1: Inference - Decoding with Frame Skipping
&lt;/h2&gt;

&lt;h3&gt;
  
  
  RNN-T Architecture
&lt;/h3&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Without going into too much detail, there are a few ways to train a speech-to-text model: &lt;strong&gt;CTC&lt;/strong&gt;, &lt;strong&gt;AED&lt;/strong&gt;, &lt;strong&gt;Decoder-only&lt;/strong&gt; or &lt;strong&gt;RNN-T/TDT&lt;/strong&gt;. Each of these have pros and cons, for a full comparison see &lt;a href="https://desh2608.github.io/2025-10-27-decoder-only-asr/" rel="noopener noreferrer"&gt;Desh's Analysis&lt;/a&gt;.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;RNN-T hits a useful middle ground: it has enough modeling capacity to capture label dependencies (unlike CTC), its autoregressive component is lightweight (unlike AED/Decoder-only), and it can be trained end-to-end with a well-understood loss function. RNN-T is already fast - much faster than AED or Decoder-only models, and only somewhat slower than CTC. But there's still space to speed up.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;An RNN-T consists of three components:&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;ol&gt;
&lt;li&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;Encoder&lt;/strong&gt; 

&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;hh&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;h&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
: Maps audio 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;X\mathbf{X}&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf"&gt;X&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 to hidden representations 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;ht(X)∈RHench_t(\mathbf{X}) \in \mathbb{R}^{H_{\text{enc}}}&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;h&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf"&gt;X&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∈&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbb"&gt;R&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;H&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size3 size1 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord text mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;enc&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 for each frame 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;tt&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
. Typically, this is a large transformer.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;Predictor&lt;/strong&gt; (a.k.a. decoder) 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;gg&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;g&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
: A small autoregressive network that maps the previous non-blank tokens 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;y&amp;lt;u\mathbf{y}_{&amp;lt;u}&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf"&gt;y&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mrel mtight"&gt;&amp;lt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 to representations 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;gu(y&amp;lt;u)∈RHpredg_u(\mathbf{y}_{&amp;lt;u}) \in \mathbb{R}^{H_{\text{pred}}}&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;g&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf"&gt;y&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mrel mtight"&gt;&amp;lt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∈&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbb"&gt;R&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;H&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size3 size1 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord text mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;pred&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
. The name "RNN-T" implies an RNN here, but this can be substituted for any autoregressive network. During training, the predictor sees the &lt;strong&gt;ground-truth label&lt;/strong&gt; prefix (teacher forcing); during inference, it autoregresses on its &lt;strong&gt;own previous predictions&lt;/strong&gt;.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;Joint network&lt;/strong&gt; 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;JJ&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;J&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
: A small network (often a single linear layer) that combines encoder and predictor outputs to produce logits over the vocabulary 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;V∪∅\mathcal{V} \cup {\varnothing}&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathcal"&gt;V&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;∪&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord amsrm"&gt;∅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 (where 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;∅\varnothing&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord amsrm"&gt;∅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 is the blank symbol):&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;/ol&gt;


&lt;div class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex-display"&gt;&lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;zt,u=J(ht(X),gu(y&amp;lt;u))∈R∣V∣+1\mathbf{z}_{t,u} = J(h_t(\mathbf{X}), g_u(\mathbf{y}_{&amp;lt;u})) \in \mathbb{R}^{|\mathcal{V}| + 1}&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf"&gt;z&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct mtight"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;J&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;h&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf"&gt;X&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;g&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf"&gt;y&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mrel mtight"&gt;&amp;lt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;))&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∈&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbb"&gt;R&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathcal mtight"&gt;V&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin mtight"&gt;+&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;


&lt;p&gt;Here 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;tt&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 indexes the encoder time-step, 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;uu&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 indexes how many output labels have been emitted so far (position in the target sequence), and 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;vv&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;v&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 denotes any candidate vocabulary symbol (including blank) when we write 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;P(v∣t,u)P(v \mid t, u)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;v&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h3&gt;
  
  
  RNN-T Inference
&lt;/h3&gt;

&lt;p&gt;At inference time, the model decodes greedily by stepping through encoder frames:&lt;br&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;div class="highlight js-code-highlight"&gt;
&lt;pre class="highlight python"&gt;&lt;code&gt;&lt;span class="c1"&gt;# RNN-T Greedy Decoding (simplified)
&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="n"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class="o"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class="mi"&gt;0&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;span class="n"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class="o"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class="mi"&gt;0&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;span class="n"&gt;output&lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class="o"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class="p"&gt;[]&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;span class="k"&gt;while&lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class="n"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class="o"&gt;&amp;lt;&lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class="n"&gt;T&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="p"&gt;:&lt;/span&gt;
    &lt;span class="n"&gt;logits&lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class="o"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class="nf"&gt;joint&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="p"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="n"&gt;encoder&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="p"&gt;[&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="n"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="p"&gt;],&lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class="nf"&gt;predictor&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="p"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="n"&gt;output&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="p"&gt;))&lt;/span&gt;
    &lt;span class="n"&gt;token&lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class="o"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class="nf"&gt;argmax&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="p"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="n"&gt;logits&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="p"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;
    &lt;span class="k"&gt;if&lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class="n"&gt;token&lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class="o"&gt;==&lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class="n"&gt;BLANK&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="p"&gt;:&lt;/span&gt;
        &lt;span class="n"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class="o"&gt;+=&lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class="mi"&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;          &lt;span class="c1"&gt;# advance ONE frame
&lt;/span&gt;    &lt;span class="k"&gt;else&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="p"&gt;:&lt;/span&gt;
        &lt;span class="n"&gt;output&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="p"&gt;.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="nf"&gt;append&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="p"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="n"&gt;token&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="p"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;
        &lt;span class="c1"&gt;# stay at same t, advance u
&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/code&gt;&lt;/pre&gt;

&lt;/div&gt;


&lt;p&gt;At each step, the model either emits blank (advance one frame) or emits a token (stay at the same frame, advance the label index). The key observation in speeding this up will be to allow &lt;strong&gt;frame-skipping&lt;/strong&gt;.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;For a 10-second utterance at 80ms frame rate (after subsampling), that's ~125 sequential joint network calls &lt;em&gt;at minimum&lt;/em&gt;. Most of those will be blanks - in typical speech, tokens are sparse relative to frames. The model spends most of its time predicting "nothing is happening" one frame at a time. The joint network is cheap per call, but the sequential one-frame-at-a-time structure leaves performance on the table.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;TDT addresses this.&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/p&gt;


&lt;h3&gt;
  
  
  TDT: The Key Modification
&lt;/h3&gt;

&lt;p&gt;The core idea of TDT (&lt;a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/2304.06795" rel="noopener noreferrer"&gt;Xu et al., 2023&lt;/a&gt;): &lt;strong&gt;instead of predicting just a token at each step, jointly predict the token &lt;em&gt;and&lt;/em&gt; how many frames it covers&lt;/strong&gt;.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;In standard RNN-T, the joint network outputs a single distribution over 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;∣V∣+1|\mathcal{V}| + 1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathcal"&gt;V&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;+&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 symbols (vocabulary + blank). In TDT, the joint network outputs &lt;strong&gt;two independent distributions&lt;/strong&gt;:&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;ol&gt;
&lt;li&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;Token distribution&lt;/strong&gt;: 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;P(v∣t,u)∈Δ∣V∣+1P(v \mid t, u) \in \Delta^{|\mathcal{V}|+1}&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;v&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∈&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;Δ&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathcal mtight"&gt;V&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin mtight"&gt;+&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 - same as RNN-T&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;Duration distribution&lt;/strong&gt;: 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;P(d∣t,u)∈Δ∣D∣P(d \mid t, u) \in \Delta^{|\mathcal{D}|}&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;d&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∈&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;Δ&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathcal mtight"&gt;D&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 - probability over a set of allowed durations&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;/ol&gt;

&lt;p&gt;where 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;D\mathcal{D}&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathcal"&gt;D&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 is a predefined set of durations. A typical choice is 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;D={0,1,2,3,4}\mathcal{D} = \lbrace 0, 1, 2, 3, 4\rbrace &lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathcal"&gt;D&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;{&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;0&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;2&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;3&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;4&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;}&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
, though the set can be configured - for example, 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;{1,2,3,4}\lbrace 1, 2, 3, 4\rbrace &lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;{&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;2&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;3&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;4&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;}&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 (omitting 0) is also valid.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;The two heads share the same encoder and predictor representations but are &lt;strong&gt;independently normalized&lt;/strong&gt; (separate softmax operations):&lt;br&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;div class="highlight js-code-highlight"&gt;
&lt;pre class="highlight python"&gt;&lt;code&gt;&lt;span class="c1"&gt;# TDT Joint Network Output
&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="n"&gt;logits&lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class="o"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class="nf"&gt;joint&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="p"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="n"&gt;encoder&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="p"&gt;[&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="n"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="p"&gt;],&lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class="nf"&gt;predictor&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="p"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="n"&gt;output&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="p"&gt;))&lt;/span&gt;  &lt;span class="c1"&gt;# shape: [V + 1 + |D|]
&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;span class="c1"&gt;# Split into token and duration logits
&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="n"&gt;token_logits&lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class="o"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class="n"&gt;logits&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="p"&gt;[:&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="n"&gt;V&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="o"&gt;+&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mi"&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="p"&gt;]&lt;/span&gt;                    &lt;span class="c1"&gt;# shape: [V + 1]
&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="n"&gt;duration_logits&lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class="o"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class="n"&gt;logits&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="p"&gt;[&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="n"&gt;V&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="o"&gt;+&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mi"&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="p"&gt;:]&lt;/span&gt;                 &lt;span class="c1"&gt;# shape: [|D|]
&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;span class="c1"&gt;# Independent softmax
&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="n"&gt;token_probs&lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class="o"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class="nf"&gt;softmax&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="p"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="n"&gt;token_logits&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="p"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;span class="n"&gt;duration_probs&lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class="o"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class="nf"&gt;softmax&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="p"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="n"&gt;duration_logits&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="p"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/code&gt;&lt;/pre&gt;

&lt;/div&gt;

&lt;h3&gt;
  
  
  TDT Inference
&lt;/h3&gt;

&lt;p&gt;The inference speedup is immediate. Compare with the RNN-T loop above:&lt;br&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;div class="highlight js-code-highlight"&gt;
&lt;pre class="highlight python"&gt;&lt;code&gt;&lt;span class="c1"&gt;# TDT Greedy Decoding (simplified)
&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="n"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class="o"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class="mi"&gt;0&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;span class="n"&gt;output&lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class="o"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class="p"&gt;[]&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;span class="k"&gt;while&lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class="n"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class="o"&gt;&amp;lt;&lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class="n"&gt;T&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="p"&gt;:&lt;/span&gt;
    &lt;span class="n"&gt;logits&lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class="o"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class="nf"&gt;joint&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="p"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="n"&gt;encoder&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="p"&gt;[&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="n"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="p"&gt;],&lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class="nf"&gt;predictor&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="p"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="n"&gt;output&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="p"&gt;))&lt;/span&gt;
    &lt;span class="n"&gt;token&lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class="o"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class="nf"&gt;argmax&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="p"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="n"&gt;token_logits&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="p"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;
    &lt;span class="n"&gt;duration&lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class="o"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class="nf"&gt;argmax&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="p"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="n"&gt;duration_logits&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="p"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;

    &lt;span class="k"&gt;if&lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class="n"&gt;token&lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class="o"&gt;==&lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class="n"&gt;BLANK&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="p"&gt;:&lt;/span&gt;
        &lt;span class="n"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class="o"&gt;+=&lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class="nf"&gt;max&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="p"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mi"&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="p"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class="n"&gt;duration&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="p"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;    &lt;span class="c1"&gt;# skip MULTIPLE frames!
&lt;/span&gt;    &lt;span class="k"&gt;else&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="p"&gt;:&lt;/span&gt;
        &lt;span class="n"&gt;output&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="p"&gt;.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="nf"&gt;append&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="p"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="n"&gt;token&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="p"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;
        &lt;span class="n"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class="o"&gt;+=&lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class="n"&gt;duration&lt;/span&gt;            &lt;span class="c1"&gt;# can also skip frames on token emission
&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/code&gt;&lt;/pre&gt;

&lt;/div&gt;


&lt;p&gt;Instead of advancing one frame at a time, the model can skip over stretches of silence or steady-state audio. If the model predicts blank with duration 4, it skips 4 frames in one step - reducing joint network calls for that stretch proportionally.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Let's trace through a concrete example. Suppose we have 8 encoder frames (
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;T=8T = 8&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;T&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;8&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
), target "hi" → tokens &lt;code&gt;[h, i]&lt;/code&gt;, and durations 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;D={0,1,2,3}\mathcal{D} = \lbrace 0, 1, 2, 3\rbrace &lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathcal"&gt;D&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;{&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;0&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;2&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;3&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;}&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
:&lt;br&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;div class="highlight js-code-highlight"&gt;
&lt;pre class="highlight plaintext"&gt;&lt;code&gt;t=0: joint(enc[0], pred([]))
     → token=h (p=0.8), duration=0 (p=0.7)
     → emit 'h', stay at t=0

t=0: joint(enc[0], pred([h]))
     → token=i (p=0.6), duration=2 (p=0.5)
     → emit 'i', jump to t=2

t=2: joint(enc[2], pred([h, i]))
     → token=blank (p=0.9), duration=3 (p=0.6)
     → skip to t=5

t=5: joint(enc[5], pred([h, i]))
     → token=blank (p=0.95), duration=3 (p=0.8)
     → skip to t=8 → DONE!
&lt;/code&gt;&lt;/pre&gt;

&lt;/div&gt;


&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;4 joint network calls&lt;/strong&gt; instead of 8+ for standard RNN-T. That's the speedup.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;The TDT paper reports &lt;strong&gt;up to 2.82x faster inference&lt;/strong&gt; than standard RNN-T on speech recognition tasks, with comparable or better accuracy. The speedup is more pronounced on longer utterances with more silence.&lt;/p&gt;


&lt;h2&gt;
  
  
  Part 2: Training - Mechanics of Forward-Backward
&lt;/h2&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Now that we've seen &lt;em&gt;what&lt;/em&gt; these models do at inference time, let's understand how they're trained. This requires a bit more machinery.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h3&gt;
  
  
  The Lattice and Alignments (Standard RNN-T)
&lt;/h3&gt;

&lt;p&gt;During training, have the audio 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;X\mathbf{X}&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf"&gt;X&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 and we know the correct transcription 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;y\mathbf{y}&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf"&gt;y&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
, but typically &lt;em&gt;don't&lt;/em&gt; know the correct frame-word alignment. &lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Suppose we have 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;T=8T = 8&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;T&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;8&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 encoder frames and the target transcription 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;y=[“the",“quick",“brown",“fox"]\mathbf{y} = [\text{“the"}, \text{“quick"}, \text{“brown"}, \text{“fox"}]&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf"&gt;y&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;[&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord text"&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;“the"&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord text"&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;“quick"&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord text"&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;“brown"&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord text"&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;“fox"&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;]&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 (
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;U=4U = 4&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;U&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;4&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
), we have many potential ways to get the exact same transcript, for example:&lt;br&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;div class="highlight js-code-highlight"&gt;
&lt;pre class="highlight plaintext"&gt;&lt;code&gt;Path A (early speech):    ∅, the, quick, brown, fox, ∅, ∅, ∅, ∅, ∅, ∅, ∅
       (orange)           → all tokens emitted by t=4, rest is silence

Path B (spread out):      the, ∅, ∅, quick, ∅, brown, ∅, ∅, fox, ∅, ∅, ∅
       (pink)             → tokens spread across the utterance

Path C (late speech):     ∅, ∅, ∅, ∅, ∅, the, quick, brown, ∅, ∅, fox, ∅
       (blue)             → speech starts late, around t=5
&lt;/code&gt;&lt;/pre&gt;

&lt;/div&gt;


&lt;p&gt;Remember that each time we output a blank symbol 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;∅\varnothing&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord amsrm"&gt;∅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
, we increment 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;tt&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 (the time-frame of the encoder) and each time we output a token, we feed that back into the predictor to get the next predictor output (increment 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;uu&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 by one).&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Our goal now is to &lt;strong&gt;maximise the chance of the correct transcript&lt;/strong&gt; (irrespective of the alignment - which we don't yet know). RNN-T's solution to this is maximise the probability over &lt;strong&gt;all possible alignments&lt;/strong&gt;. The way we visualise this is by constructing a &lt;strong&gt;lattice&lt;/strong&gt;, which will encode any possible frame-word alignment.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;&lt;a href="https://media2.dev.to/dynamic/image/width=800%2Cheight=%2Cfit=scale-down%2Cgravity=auto%2Cformat=auto/https%3A%2F%2Fdev-to-uploads.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fuploads%2Farticles%2Fq8kakdsmdjn45mxo1sbi.jpg" class="article-body-image-wrapper"&gt;&lt;img src="https://media2.dev.to/dynamic/image/width=800%2Cheight=%2Cfit=scale-down%2Cgravity=auto%2Cformat=auto/https%3A%2F%2Fdev-to-uploads.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fuploads%2Farticles%2Fq8kakdsmdjn45mxo1sbi.jpg" alt="Image 1"&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;The joint network produces a probability distribution 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;P(v∣t,u)P(v \mid t, u)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;v&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 at every node 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;(t,u)(t, u)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 in a 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;T×(U+1)T \times (U+1)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;T&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;×&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;U&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;+&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 grid (the &lt;strong&gt;lattice&lt;/strong&gt;), where 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;TT&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;T&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 is the number of encoder frames and 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;UU&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;U&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 is the number of target tokens. In the above example, for 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;t=3t=3&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;3&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 and 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;u=2u=2&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;2&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
, we evaluate:&lt;br&gt;

&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;div class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex-display"&gt;&lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;z3,2=J(h3(X),g([“the", “quick"]))\mathbf{z}_{3,2} = J(h_3(\mathbf{X}), g(\text{[“the", “quick"]}))&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf"&gt;z&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;3&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct mtight"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;2&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;J&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;h&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;3&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf"&gt;X&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;g&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord text"&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;[“the", “quick"]&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;))&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;



&lt;p&gt;the joiner called on the &lt;strong&gt;3rd&lt;/strong&gt; frame of the encoder output, and the predictor called on the first &lt;strong&gt;2&lt;/strong&gt; model outputs. This gives us a probability distribution over the entire vocab, 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;V\mathcal{V}&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathcal"&gt;V&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
, plus blank, 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;∅\varnothing&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord amsrm"&gt;∅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
. For training, we only care about the probability of the next correct token (in this case "brown") or blank, 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;∅\varnothing&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord amsrm"&gt;∅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 - so we just show these two transitions in the lattice:&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;ul&gt;
&lt;li&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;Emit blank&lt;/strong&gt; 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;∅\varnothing&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord amsrm"&gt;∅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
: moves from 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;(t,u)→(t+1,u)(t, u) \to (t+1, u)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;→&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;+&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 - a step &lt;em&gt;right&lt;/em&gt; along the time axis.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;Emit the next token&lt;/strong&gt; 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;yu+1y_{u+1}&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;y&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin mtight"&gt;+&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
: moves from 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;(t,u)→(t,u+1)(t, u) \to (t, u+1)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;→&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;+&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 - a step &lt;em&gt;up&lt;/em&gt; along the label axis.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;/ul&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Every valid path from bottom-left &lt;code&gt;[start]&lt;/code&gt; to top-right &lt;code&gt;[end]&lt;/code&gt; emits exactly the target sequence and is a different valid alignment. Different paths through this lattice correspond to different &lt;em&gt;timings&lt;/em&gt; of the same transcription.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;To get the probability of a given path/alignment we use the product of all token/blank probabilities along that path. e.g.&lt;/p&gt;


&lt;div class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex-display"&gt;&lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;P(Path A∣X)=P(∅∣t=0,u=0)⋅P(“the"∣t=1,u=0)...P(\text{Path A} \mid \mathbf{X}) = P(\varnothing \mid t=0, u=0)\cdot P(\text{“the"}\mid t=1,u=0)... &lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord text"&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;Path A&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf"&gt;X&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord amsrm"&gt;∅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;0&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;0&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;⋅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord text"&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;“the"&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;0&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;...&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;


&lt;p&gt;Where (as descibed above), 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;tt&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 is the time-frame index of the encoder output, and 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;uu&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 is the amount of the transcript that the predictor has seen so far.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;The total probability of 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;y\mathbf{y}&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf"&gt;y&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 (the correct transcription) is defined as the sum over &lt;em&gt;all&lt;/em&gt; such paths:&lt;/p&gt;


&lt;div class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex-display"&gt;&lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;P(y∣X)=∑a∈A(y)P(a∣X)P(\mathbf{y} \mid \mathbf{X}) = \sum_{\mathbf{a} \in \mathcal{A}(\mathbf{y})} P(\mathbf{a} \mid \mathbf{X})&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf"&gt;y&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf"&gt;X&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mop op-limits"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf mtight"&gt;a&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel mtight"&gt;∈&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathcal mtight"&gt;A&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen mtight"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf mtight"&gt;y&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose mtight"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="mop op-symbol large-op"&gt;∑&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf"&gt;a&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf"&gt;X&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;


&lt;p&gt;where 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;A(y)\mathcal{A}(\mathbf{y})&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathcal"&gt;A&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf"&gt;y&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 is the set of all valid alignments for 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;y\mathbf{y}&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf"&gt;y&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;This probability 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;P(y∣X)P(\mathbf{y} \mid \mathbf{X})&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf"&gt;y&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf"&gt;X&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 is the &lt;strong&gt;objective we will try to maximise&lt;/strong&gt; in training. Or more accurately, we will try to minimise the negative log-likelihood:&lt;/p&gt;


&lt;div class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex-display"&gt;&lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;LRNNT=−log⁡P(y∣X)\mathcal{L}_{\mathrm{RNNT}} = - \log P(\mathbf{y} \mid \mathbf{X})&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathcal"&gt;L&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathrm mtight"&gt;RNNT&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;−&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mop"&gt;lo&lt;span&gt;g&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf"&gt;y&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf"&gt;X&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;


&lt;p&gt;So, our loss is completely agnostic to the alignment the model wants to use, we just want to maximise the total probability mass running through this lattice.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Now we need to efficiently calculate this loss, 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;LRNNT\mathcal{L}_{\mathrm{RNNT}}&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathcal"&gt;L&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathrm mtight"&gt;RNNT&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 - and the relevant gradients.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h3&gt;
  
  
  RNN-T Training: The Forward-Backward Algorithm
&lt;/h3&gt;

&lt;p&gt;As long as we &lt;strong&gt;stay&lt;/strong&gt; on this training lattice, we will produce the &lt;strong&gt;correct transcript&lt;/strong&gt;. The probability of staying on this lattice is the thing we will try to maximise - so we want to boost the chance of &lt;strong&gt;any transitions on this lattice&lt;/strong&gt; (scaled by the impact they have on the final probability).&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;It's worth noting here that the output of the joiner is normalised, so &lt;strong&gt;increasing&lt;/strong&gt; the chance of e.g. the token 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;y1=“the"y_1=\text{“the"}&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;y&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord text"&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;“the"&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
, will implicitly &lt;strong&gt;decrease&lt;/strong&gt; the chance of all other tokens here e.g. 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;y1=“then"y_1=\text{“then"}&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;y&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord text"&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;“then"&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;So how do we get this probability?&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;If we start from no transcript - with probability 1 (we must start with nothing yet transcribed) - we can get the chance of moving in either valid direction:&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;&lt;a href="https://media2.dev.to/dynamic/image/width=800%2Cheight=%2Cfit=scale-down%2Cgravity=auto%2Cformat=auto/https%3A%2F%2Fdev-to-uploads.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fuploads%2Farticles%2Fc9mmun89xwom4lgigkk8.png" class="article-body-image-wrapper"&gt;&lt;img src="https://media2.dev.to/dynamic/image/width=800%2Cheight=%2Cfit=scale-down%2Cgravity=auto%2Cformat=auto/https%3A%2F%2Fdev-to-uploads.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fuploads%2Farticles%2Fc9mmun89xwom4lgigkk8.png" alt="Image 2b"&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;So, the chance of going up in the lattice - emitting 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;z0,0=“the"z_{0,0}=\text{“the"}&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;z&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;0&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct mtight"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;0&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord text"&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;“the"&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 - is say 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;0.40.4&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;0.4&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
. The chance of emitting 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;z0,0=∅z_{0,0}=\varnothing&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;z&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;0&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct mtight"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;0&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord amsrm"&gt;∅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 is say 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;0.50.5&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;0.5&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
. This is quite good, it means the chance of emitting &lt;em&gt;any&lt;/em&gt; other random token is only 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;0.10.1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;0.1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 - indicating a well trained model.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Here we'll keep 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;α(t,u)\alpha(t,u)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;α&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 as the probability of getting to a node (from the start). So, what's the chance of progressing any further through this lattice:&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;&lt;a href="https://media2.dev.to/dynamic/image/width=800%2Cheight=%2Cfit=scale-down%2Cgravity=auto%2Cformat=auto/https%3A%2F%2Fdev-to-uploads.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fuploads%2Farticles%2Fi5ab8wmrjk5pwbpz7364.png" class="article-body-image-wrapper"&gt;&lt;img src="https://media2.dev.to/dynamic/image/width=800%2Cheight=%2Cfit=scale-down%2Cgravity=auto%2Cformat=auto/https%3A%2F%2Fdev-to-uploads.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fuploads%2Farticles%2Fi5ab8wmrjk5pwbpz7364.png" alt="Image 3b"&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;To get to node 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;(t=2,u=1)(t=2, u=1)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;2&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 i.e. two blanks and one correct 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;“the"\text{“the"}&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord text"&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;“the"&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 token.  We have three possible paths:&lt;br&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;div class="highlight js-code-highlight"&gt;
&lt;pre class="highlight plaintext"&gt;&lt;code&gt;Path 1: "the", ∅, ∅
        (↑, →, →)
        P_1 = 0.4 * 0.1 * 0.1 = 0.004

Path 2: ∅, "the", ∅
        (→, ↑, →)
        P_2 = 0.5 * 0.5 * 0.1 = 0.025

Path 3: ∅, ∅, "the"
        (→, →, ↑)
        P_3 = 0.5 * 0.4 * 0.7 = 0.14
&lt;/code&gt;&lt;/pre&gt;

&lt;/div&gt;


&lt;p&gt;So the sum over all paths to node 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;(t=2,u=1)(t=2, u=1)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;2&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 is 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;α(t=2,u=1)=0.004+0.025+0.14=0.169\alpha(t=2,u=1) = 0.004 + 0.025 + 0.14 = 0.169&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;α&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;2&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;0.004&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;+&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;0.025&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;+&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;0.14&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;0.169&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
. This means that the rest of the time: 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;100%−16.9%=83.1%100\%-16.9\%=83.1\%&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;100%&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;−&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;16.9%&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;83.1%&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 of the time, we've already gone wrong at this stage - left the training lattice - e.g. output ["then", 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;∅\varnothing&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord amsrm"&gt;∅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
, 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;∅\varnothing&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord amsrm"&gt;∅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
] or [
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;∅\varnothing&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord amsrm"&gt;∅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
, "apple", 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;∅\varnothing&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord amsrm"&gt;∅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
].&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;More generally, we define 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;α\alpha&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;α&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
, a.k.a. the &lt;strong&gt;forward variable&lt;/strong&gt;, as the sum of all &lt;strong&gt;correct&lt;/strong&gt; the paths to a given node:&lt;/p&gt;


&lt;div class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex-display"&gt;&lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;α(t,u)=∑paths from (0,0) to (t,u)P(path)\alpha(t, u) = \sum_{\text{paths from } (0,0) \text{ to } (t,u)} P(\text{path})&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;α&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mop op-limits"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord text mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;paths from &lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen mtight"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;0&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct mtight"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;0&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose mtight"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord text mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt; to &lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen mtight"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct mtight"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose mtight"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="mop op-symbol large-op"&gt;∑&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord text"&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;path&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;



&lt;p&gt;It's also useful to think of this as the total amount of &lt;strong&gt;probability mass&lt;/strong&gt; that &lt;strong&gt;flows&lt;/strong&gt; through the lattice to a given node.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Now if we enumerate all paths to the &lt;code&gt;[end]&lt;/code&gt; node and sum the probabilities we will get the full transcript probability:&lt;/p&gt;


&lt;div class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex-display"&gt;&lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;P(y∣X)=α(T,U)P(\mathbf{y} \mid \mathbf{X}) = \alpha(T, U)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf"&gt;y&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf"&gt;X&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;α&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;T&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;U&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;


&lt;p&gt;The problem with this is that we will have way too many paths to enumerate. Even for the above small example, with 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;T=8T=8&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;T&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;8&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 and 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;U=4U=4&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;U&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;4&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 we have &lt;strong&gt;330&lt;/strong&gt; potential paths through the lattice. &lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;To solve this issue, we notice that to get the probability mass that gets to a given node, we only care about the mass that gets to the previous adjacent nodes (i.e. one blank token backwards, or one correct token backwards):&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;&lt;a href="https://media2.dev.to/dynamic/image/width=800%2Cheight=%2Cfit=scale-down%2Cgravity=auto%2Cformat=auto/https%3A%2F%2Fdev-to-uploads.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fuploads%2Farticles%2Failxkjrbz0f0klp2gzrt.jpg" class="article-body-image-wrapper"&gt;&lt;img src="https://media2.dev.to/dynamic/image/width=800%2Cheight=%2Cfit=scale-down%2Cgravity=auto%2Cformat=auto/https%3A%2F%2Fdev-to-uploads.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fuploads%2Farticles%2Failxkjrbz0f0klp2gzrt.jpg" alt="Image 4"&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;We don't care about individual paths leading up to these predecessor nodes, just the total sum over all possible paths to them - the total probability mass that arrives there. This means we get the following:&lt;/p&gt;


&lt;div class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex-display"&gt;&lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;α(t,u)=α(t−1,u)⋅P(∅∣t−1,u)+α(t,u−1)⋅P(yu∣t,u−1)\alpha(t, u) = \alpha(t-1, u) \cdot P(\varnothing \mid t-1, u) + \alpha(t, u-1) \cdot P(y_u \mid t, u-1)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;α&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;α&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;−&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;⋅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord amsrm"&gt;∅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;−&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;+&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;α&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;−&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;⋅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;y&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;−&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;


&lt;p&gt;with 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;α(0,0)=1\alpha(0, 0) = 1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;α&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;0&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;0&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 (as the chance of starting at 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;(0,0)(0,0)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;0&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;0&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 is 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;100%100\%&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;100%&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
). Each term above says: the mass arriving at 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;(t,u)(t, u)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 is the mass at the predecessor node, times the probability of the transition from the predecessor to 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;(t,u)(t,u)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
. This means that we get to skip enumerating every possible path and just run through each node in the lattice with this sum - all the way to the &lt;code&gt;[end]&lt;/code&gt; node.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Now that we've efficiently calculated the total probability 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;P(y∣X)=α(T,U)P(\mathbf{y}\mid \mathbf{X})=\alpha(T,U)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf"&gt;y&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf"&gt;X&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;α&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;T&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;U&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
, we need to calculate the amount that each transition effects this final sum - &lt;strong&gt;the gradient&lt;/strong&gt; of 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;P(y∣X)P(\mathbf{y}\mid \mathbf{X})&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf"&gt;y&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf"&gt;X&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 with respect to 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;zt,uz_{t,u}&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;z&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct mtight"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
. This will tell us how much to update the model weights each step. Specifically, if we make a small change in transition probabilities 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;∂zt,u\partial z_{t,u}&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;∂&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;z&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct mtight"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
, what will be the effect on the total probability 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;∂P(y∣X)\partial P(\mathbf{y}\mid\mathbf{X})&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;∂&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf"&gt;y&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf"&gt;X&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h4&gt;
  
  
  Gradient Calculation:
&lt;/h4&gt;

&lt;p&gt;So let's work this out for a given node; e.g. probability of a blank transition at 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;(t=3,u=1)(t=3,u=1)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;3&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
: 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;P(∅∣t=3,u=1)P(\varnothing\mid t=3, u=1)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord amsrm"&gt;∅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;3&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
. This means that the model has already output the correct first token - e.g. "the" as well as 3 blank tokens 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;∅\varnothing&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord amsrm"&gt;∅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 - in some order. &lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;For some path "Path k" through the lattice - that goes through our transition 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;z3,1=∅z_{3,1}=\varnothing&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;z&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;3&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct mtight"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord amsrm"&gt;∅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
, we have:&lt;/p&gt;


&lt;div class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex-display"&gt;&lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;P(Path k)=P(v0)...⋅P(∅∣t=3,u=1)...⋅P(vn)P(\text{Path k}) = P(v_0) ... \cdot P(\varnothing\mid t=3, u=1)...\cdot P(v_n)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord text"&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;Path k&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;v&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;0&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;...&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;⋅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord amsrm"&gt;∅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;3&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;...&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;⋅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;v&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;n&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;


&lt;p&gt;where 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;P(vi)P(v_i)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;v&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;i&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 is some transition that exists along this path. This means that a small change in our transition 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;∂P(∅∣t=3,u=1)\partial P(\varnothing\mid t=3, u=1)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;∂&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord amsrm"&gt;∅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;3&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 will affect the total path probability:&lt;/p&gt;


&lt;div class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex-display"&gt;&lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;∂P(Path k)=P(v0)...⋅∂P(∅∣t=3,u=1)...⋅P(vn)\partial P(\text{Path k}) = P(v_0) ... \cdot \partial P(\varnothing\mid t=3, u=1)...\cdot P(v_n)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;∂&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord text"&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;Path k&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;v&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;0&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;...&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;⋅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;∂&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord amsrm"&gt;∅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;3&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;...&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;⋅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;v&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;n&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;



&lt;div class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex-display"&gt;&lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;∂P(Path k)∂P(∅∣t=3,u=1)=P(v0)...⋅P(v3)⋅P(v5)...⋅P(vn)\frac{\partial P(\text{Path k})}{\partial P(\varnothing\mid t=3, u=1)} = P(v_0) ...\cdot P(v_3) \cdot P(v_5) ...\cdot P(v_n)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mopen nulldelimiter"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mfrac"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;∂&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord amsrm"&gt;∅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;3&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="frac-line"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;∂&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord text"&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;Path k&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose nulldelimiter"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;v&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;0&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;...&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;⋅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;v&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;3&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;⋅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;v&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;5&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;...&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;⋅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;v&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;n&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;


&lt;p&gt;So, this is the amount that changing our transition probability will affect a path that uses it - just the &lt;strong&gt;total probability of the path&lt;/strong&gt; (not including the given transition). We also observe that changing this probability won't affect paths that don't use this transition. We also know that the total probability of the correct transcript is the sum over all possible correct paths:&lt;/p&gt;


&lt;div class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex-display"&gt;&lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;P(y∣X)=∑paths from (0,0) to (T,U)P(path)P(\mathbf{y} \mid \mathbf{X}) = \sum_{\text{paths from } (0,0) \text{ to } (T,U)} P(\text{path}) &lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf"&gt;y&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf"&gt;X&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mop op-limits"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord text mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;paths from &lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen mtight"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;0&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct mtight"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;0&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose mtight"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord text mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt; to &lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen mtight"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;T&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct mtight"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;U&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose mtight"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="mop op-symbol large-op"&gt;∑&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord text"&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;path&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;


&lt;p&gt;so naturally, the effect of changing this transition on 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;P(y∣X)P(\mathbf{y} \mid \mathbf{X})&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf"&gt;y&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf"&gt;X&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
, is the sum of the effects it has on each relevant path:&lt;/p&gt;


&lt;div class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex-display"&gt;&lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;∂P(y∣X)=∑paths through z3,1=∅P(v0)...⋅∂P(∅∣t=3,u=1)...⋅P(vn)\partial P(\mathbf{y} \mid \mathbf{X}) = \sum_{\text{paths through } z_{3,1} = \varnothing} P(v_0)...\cdot  \partial  P(\varnothing\mid t=3,u=1)...\cdot P(v_n) &lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;∂&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf"&gt;y&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf"&gt;X&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mop op-limits"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord text mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;paths through &lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;z&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size3 size1 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;3&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct mtight"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel mtight"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord amsrm mtight"&gt;∅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="mop op-symbol large-op"&gt;∑&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;v&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;0&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;...&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;⋅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;∂&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord amsrm"&gt;∅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;3&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;...&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;⋅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;v&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;n&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;


&lt;p&gt;which we can split into the sum over paths that get to the transition 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;z3,1=∅z_{3,1}=\varnothing&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;z&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;3&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct mtight"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord amsrm"&gt;∅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
; the transition itself; and the sum over all the paths that &lt;strong&gt;leave the transition and get to the&lt;/strong&gt; &lt;code&gt;[end]&lt;/code&gt; &lt;strong&gt;state&lt;/strong&gt;:&lt;/p&gt;


&lt;div class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex-display"&gt;&lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;∂P(y∣X)=[∑paths from (0,0) to (t=3,u=1)P(path)]⋅∂P(∅∣t=3,u=1)⋅[∑paths from (t=4,u=1) to (T,U)P(path)]\partial P(\mathbf{y} \mid \mathbf{X}) = \left[\sum_{\text{paths from } (0,0) \text{ to } (t=3,u=1)} P(\text{path})\right] \cdot  \partial  P(\varnothing\mid t=3,u=1) \cdot \left[\sum_{\text{paths from } (t=4,u=1) \text{ to } (T,U)} P(\text{path})\right] &lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;∂&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf"&gt;y&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf"&gt;X&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="minner"&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;&lt;span class="delimsizing mult"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="delimsizinginner delim-size4"&gt;&lt;span&gt;⎣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="delimsizinginner delim-size4"&gt;&lt;span&gt;⎡&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mop op-limits"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord text mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;paths from &lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen mtight"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;0&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct mtight"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;0&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose mtight"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord text mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt; to &lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen mtight"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel mtight"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;3&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct mtight"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel mtight"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose mtight"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="mop op-symbol large-op"&gt;∑&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord text"&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;path&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;&lt;span class="delimsizing mult"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="delimsizinginner delim-size4"&gt;&lt;span&gt;⎦&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="delimsizinginner delim-size4"&gt;&lt;span&gt;⎤&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;⋅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;∂&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord amsrm"&gt;∅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;3&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;⋅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="minner"&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;&lt;span class="delimsizing mult"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="delimsizinginner delim-size4"&gt;&lt;span&gt;⎣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="delimsizinginner delim-size4"&gt;&lt;span&gt;⎡&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mop op-limits"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord text mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;paths from &lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen mtight"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel mtight"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;4&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct mtight"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel mtight"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose mtight"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord text mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt; to &lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen mtight"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;T&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct mtight"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;U&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose mtight"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="mop op-symbol large-op"&gt;∑&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord text"&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;path&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;&lt;span class="delimsizing mult"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="delimsizinginner delim-size4"&gt;&lt;span&gt;⎦&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="delimsizinginner delim-size4"&gt;&lt;span&gt;⎤&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;


&lt;p&gt;All this is saying is: the amount that the &lt;strong&gt;total probability changes&lt;/strong&gt; is the amount of probability mass that &lt;strong&gt;gets to a given transition&lt;/strong&gt; 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;×\times&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;×&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 the amount of probability mass that gets &lt;strong&gt;from the transition to the&lt;/strong&gt; &lt;code&gt;[end]&lt;/code&gt; &lt;strong&gt;state&lt;/strong&gt;.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;&lt;a href="https://media2.dev.to/dynamic/image/width=800%2Cheight=%2Cfit=scale-down%2Cgravity=auto%2Cformat=auto/https%3A%2F%2Fdev-to-uploads.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fuploads%2Farticles%2F4aae69yq1yoto55pvxha.jpg" class="article-body-image-wrapper"&gt;&lt;img src="https://media2.dev.to/dynamic/image/width=800%2Cheight=%2Cfit=scale-down%2Cgravity=auto%2Cformat=auto/https%3A%2F%2Fdev-to-uploads.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fuploads%2Farticles%2F4aae69yq1yoto55pvxha.jpg" alt="Image 5"&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;But we've already done the maths for the first part! The sum over paths that get to a given node is just 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;α(t,u)\alpha(t,u)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;α&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
, and the second part looks very similar - we'll call this the &lt;strong&gt;backward variable&lt;/strong&gt; 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;β(t′,u′)\beta(t',u')&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;β&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;′&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;′&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;The backward variable&lt;/strong&gt; 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;β(t,u)\beta(t, u)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;β&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 is the mirror image of 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;α(t,u)\alpha(t,u)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;α&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
: it represents the total probability mass that flows from node 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;(t,u)(t, u)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 to the final state - "how much probability mass will still reach the target from here."&lt;/p&gt;


&lt;div class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex-display"&gt;&lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;β(t,u)=∑paths from (t,u) to (T,U)P(path)\beta(t, u) = \sum_{\text{paths from } (t,u) \text{ to } (T,U)} P(\text{path})&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;β&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mop op-limits"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord text mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;paths from &lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen mtight"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct mtight"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose mtight"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord text mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt; to &lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen mtight"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;T&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct mtight"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;U&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose mtight"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="mop op-symbol large-op"&gt;∑&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord text"&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;path&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;


&lt;p&gt;Here, in a symmetric way, we set 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;β(T,U)=1\beta(T,U)=1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;β&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;T&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;U&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
, but now walk backwards through the lattice:&lt;/p&gt;


&lt;div class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex-display"&gt;&lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;β(t,u)=β(t+1,u)⋅P(∅∣t,u)+β(t,u+1)⋅P(yu+1∣t,u)\beta(t, u) = \beta(t+1, u) \cdot P(\varnothing \mid t, u) + \beta(t, u+1) \cdot P(y_{u+1} \mid t, u)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;β&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;β&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;+&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;⋅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord amsrm"&gt;∅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;+&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;β&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;+&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;⋅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;y&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin mtight"&gt;+&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;


&lt;p&gt;Effectively, "the amount of probability mass that will reach the target from each of the next nodes" 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;×\times&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;×&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 "the probability of getting there from the current node".&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;&lt;a href="https://media2.dev.to/dynamic/image/width=800%2Cheight=%2Cfit=scale-down%2Cgravity=auto%2Cformat=auto/https%3A%2F%2Fdev-to-uploads.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fuploads%2Farticles%2Fac7xa9qmp5mxl4clqnah.jpg" class="article-body-image-wrapper"&gt;&lt;img src="https://media2.dev.to/dynamic/image/width=800%2Cheight=%2Cfit=scale-down%2Cgravity=auto%2Cformat=auto/https%3A%2F%2Fdev-to-uploads.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fuploads%2Farticles%2Fac7xa9qmp5mxl4clqnah.jpg" alt="Image 6"&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;This &lt;strong&gt;simplifies&lt;/strong&gt; life a lot for our example:&lt;/p&gt;


&lt;div class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex-display"&gt;&lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;∂P(y∣X)=α(t=3,u=1)⋅∂P(∅∣t=3,u=1)⋅β(t=4,u=1)\partial P(\mathbf{y} \mid \mathbf{X}) = \alpha(t=3,u=1) \cdot  \partial  P(\varnothing\mid t=3,u=1) \cdot \beta(t=4,u=1) &lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;∂&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf"&gt;y&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf"&gt;X&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;α&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;3&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;⋅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;∂&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord amsrm"&gt;∅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;3&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;⋅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;β&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;4&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;



&lt;div class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex-display"&gt;&lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;∂P(y∣X)∂P(∅∣t=3,u=1)=α(t=3,u=1)⋅β(t=4,u=1)\frac{\partial P(\mathbf{y} \mid \mathbf{X})}{\partial  P(\varnothing\mid t=3,u=1)} = \alpha(t=3,u=1) \cdot \beta(t=4,u=1) &lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mopen nulldelimiter"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mfrac"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;∂&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord amsrm"&gt;∅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;3&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="frac-line"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;∂&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf"&gt;y&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf"&gt;X&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose nulldelimiter"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;α&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;3&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;⋅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;β&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;4&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;


&lt;p&gt;Or more generally:&lt;/p&gt;


&lt;div class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex-display"&gt;&lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;∂P(y∣X)∂P(v∣t,u)=α(t,u)⋅β(t′,u′)\frac{\partial P(\mathbf{y} \mid \mathbf{X})}{\partial  P(v \mid t,u)} = \alpha(t,u) \cdot \beta(t',u') &lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mopen nulldelimiter"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mfrac"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;∂&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;v&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="frac-line"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;∂&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf"&gt;y&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf"&gt;X&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose nulldelimiter"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;α&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;⋅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;β&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;′&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;′&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;


&lt;p&gt;Where 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;vv&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;v&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 is a transition at a given node 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;(t,u)(t,u)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 pointing to another node 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;(t′,u′)(t',u')&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;′&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;′&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;The forward variable gets the mass &lt;em&gt;to&lt;/em&gt; the transition, and the backward variable represents the mass that &lt;em&gt;will eventually arrive at&lt;/em&gt; the target from that point. The full loss gradient normalizes by the total likelihood (see the &lt;a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/1211.3711" rel="noopener noreferrer"&gt;original Graves 2012 paper&lt;/a&gt; for the complete derivation):&lt;/p&gt;


&lt;div class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex-display"&gt;&lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;LRNNT=−log⁡P(y∣X)\mathcal{L}_{\mathrm{RNNT}} = - \log P(\mathbf{y} \mid \mathbf{X})&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathcal"&gt;L&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathrm mtight"&gt;RNNT&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;−&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mop"&gt;lo&lt;span&gt;g&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf"&gt;y&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf"&gt;X&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;



&lt;div class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex-display"&gt;&lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;∂LRNNT∂P(v∣t,u)=∂LRNNT∂P(y∣X)⋅∂P(y∣X)∂P(v∣t,u)=−α(t,u)⋅β(t′,u′)P(y∣X)\frac{\partial \mathcal{L}_{\mathrm{RNNT}}}{\partial P(v \mid t, u)} = \frac{\partial \mathcal{L}_{\mathrm{RNNT}}}{\partial P(\mathbf{y} \mid \mathbf{X})} \cdot \frac{\partial P(\mathbf{y} \mid \mathbf{X})}{\partial P(v \mid t, u)} = -\frac{\alpha(t,u) \cdot \beta(t', u')}{P(\mathbf{y} \mid \mathbf{X})}&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mopen nulldelimiter"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mfrac"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;∂&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;v&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="frac-line"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;∂&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathcal"&gt;L&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathrm mtight"&gt;RNNT&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose nulldelimiter"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mopen nulldelimiter"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mfrac"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;∂&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf"&gt;y&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf"&gt;X&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="frac-line"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;∂&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathcal"&gt;L&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathrm mtight"&gt;RNNT&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose nulldelimiter"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;⋅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mopen nulldelimiter"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mfrac"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;∂&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;v&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="frac-line"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;∂&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf"&gt;y&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf"&gt;X&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose nulldelimiter"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;−&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mopen nulldelimiter"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mfrac"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf"&gt;y&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf"&gt;X&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="frac-line"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;α&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;⋅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;β&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;′&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;′&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose nulldelimiter"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;


&lt;p&gt;This gives a nice result! The gradient with respect to any given transition probability is just the proportion of the total probability mass that flows through that transition. Early in training, when 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;P(y∣X)P(\mathbf{y} \mid \mathbf{X})&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf"&gt;y&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf"&gt;X&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 is small, the gradient is still significant for any correct transitions. This also explains why lattice paths tend to collapse to a small number of dominant alignments later in training - the highest-probability paths receive the largest gradients, incentivizing further path concentration.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;n.b. This "path collapse" is a key insight of the &lt;a&gt;K2's RNN-T pruned loss&lt;/a&gt; which simplifies the gradient computation significantly by only considering paths near (in time) to the high-probability alignments.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;The forward-backward algorithm computes all of this in 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;O(T⋅U)O(T \cdot U)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;O&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;T&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;⋅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;U&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 time.&lt;/p&gt;


&lt;h3&gt;
  
  
  TDT Training: The Modified Forward-Backward
&lt;/h3&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Training TDT requires modifying the forward-backward algorithm to account for the duration variable. The loss is still the negative log-likelihood 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;−log⁡P(y∣X)-\log P(\mathbf{y} \mid \mathbf{X})&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;−&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mop"&gt;lo&lt;span&gt;g&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf"&gt;y&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf"&gt;X&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
, but the lattice transitions are now richer. Recall that in TDT, transitions can skip multiple frames:&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;ul&gt;
&lt;li&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;Blank with duration 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;dd&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;d&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/strong&gt;: 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;(t,u)→(t+d,u)(t, u) \to (t+d, u)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;→&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;+&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;d&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 - advances by 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;d≥1d \geq 1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;d&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;≥&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 frames&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;Token with duration 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;dd&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;d&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/strong&gt;: 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;(t,u)→(t+d,u+1)(t, u) \to (t+d, u+1)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;→&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;+&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;d&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;+&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 - advances by 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;d≥0d \geq 0&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;d&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;≥&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;0&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 frames &lt;em&gt;and&lt;/em&gt; emits a token&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;/ul&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Note the asymmetry: blanks must have 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;d≥1d \geq 1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;d&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;≥&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 (you must advance at least one frame when emitting nothing), but tokens can have 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;d=0d = 0&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;d&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;0&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 if 0 is in 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;D\mathcal{D}&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathcal"&gt;D&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 (emitting a token without advancing - useful for fast speech or multi-token emissions at a single frame). If 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;D\mathcal{D}&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathcal"&gt;D&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 doesn't include 0, every emission also advances at least one frame.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;&lt;a href="https://media2.dev.to/dynamic/image/width=800%2Cheight=%2Cfit=scale-down%2Cgravity=auto%2Cformat=auto/https%3A%2F%2Fdev-to-uploads.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fuploads%2Farticles%2F5bay6gd168a4o9t748cz.jpg" class="article-body-image-wrapper"&gt;&lt;img src="https://media2.dev.to/dynamic/image/width=800%2Cheight=%2Cfit=scale-down%2Cgravity=auto%2Cformat=auto/https%3A%2F%2Fdev-to-uploads.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fuploads%2Farticles%2F5bay6gd168a4o9t748cz.jpg" alt="Image 7"&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;We now have two independent distributions predicted from each node:&lt;/p&gt;


&lt;div class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex-display"&gt;&lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;P(yu,d∣t,u)=PT(yu∣t,u)⋅PD(d∣t,u)P(y_u, d \mid t, u) = P_T(y_u \mid t, u) \cdot P_D(d \mid t, u) &lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;y&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;d&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;T&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;y&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;⋅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;D&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;d&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;


&lt;h4&gt;
  
  
  Modified Forward Variable
&lt;/h4&gt;

&lt;p&gt;The forward variable 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;α(t,u)\alpha(t, u)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;α&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 now has a more complex recurrence. At each position 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;(t,u)(t, u)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
, we must sum over all durations that could have led here:&lt;/p&gt;


&lt;div class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex-display"&gt;&lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;α(t,u)=∑d∈D,d≥1α(t−d,u)⋅P(∅,d∣t−d,u)⏟blank transitions+∑d∈Dα(t−d,u−1)⋅P(yu,d∣t−d,u−1)⏟token transitions\alpha(t, u) = \underbrace{\sum_{d \in \mathcal{D}, d \geq 1} \alpha(t-d, u) \cdot P(\varnothing, d \mid t-d, u)}_{\text{blank transitions}} + \underbrace{\sum_{d \in \mathcal{D}} \alpha(t-d, u-1) \cdot P(y_u, d \mid t-d, u-1)}_{\text{token transitions}}&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;α&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord munder"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord text mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;blank transitions&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord munder"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span class="svg-align"&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="stretchy"&gt;&lt;span class="brace-left"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="brace-center"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="brace-right"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mop op-limits"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;d&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel mtight"&gt;∈&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathcal mtight"&gt;D&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct mtight"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;d&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel mtight"&gt;≥&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="mop op-symbol large-op"&gt;∑&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;α&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;−&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;d&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;⋅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord amsrm"&gt;∅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;d&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;−&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;d&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;+&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord munder"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord text mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;token transitions&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord munder"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span class="svg-align"&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="stretchy"&gt;&lt;span class="brace-left"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="brace-center"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="brace-right"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mop op-limits"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;d&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel mtight"&gt;∈&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathcal mtight"&gt;D&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="mop op-symbol large-op"&gt;∑&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;α&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;−&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;d&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;−&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;⋅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;y&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;d&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;−&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;d&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;−&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;


&lt;p&gt;The key difference from standard RNN-T: instead of looking back exactly 1 step, we look back 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;dd&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;d&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 steps for each duration in 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;D\mathcal{D}&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathcal"&gt;D&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
. This makes the forward pass 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;O(T⋅U⋅∣D∣)O(T \cdot U \cdot |\mathcal{D}|)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;O&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;T&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;⋅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;U&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;⋅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathcal"&gt;D&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 instead of 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;O(T⋅U)O(T \cdot U)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;O&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;T&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;⋅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;U&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 - a constant factor increase since 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;∣D∣|\mathcal{D}|&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathcal"&gt;D&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 is typically small (4–5 elements).&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;&lt;a href="https://media2.dev.to/dynamic/image/width=800%2Cheight=%2Cfit=scale-down%2Cgravity=auto%2Cformat=auto/https%3A%2F%2Fdev-to-uploads.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fuploads%2Farticles%2Fnbjbe13xe3tr1nb0g265.jpg" class="article-body-image-wrapper"&gt;&lt;img src="https://media2.dev.to/dynamic/image/width=800%2Cheight=%2Cfit=scale-down%2Cgravity=auto%2Cformat=auto/https%3A%2F%2Fdev-to-uploads.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fuploads%2Farticles%2Fnbjbe13xe3tr1nb0g265.jpg" alt="Image 8"&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h4&gt;
  
  
  Backward Variable and Gradients
&lt;/h4&gt;

&lt;p&gt;The backward variable 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;β(t,u)\beta(t, u)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;β&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 follows the same pattern but in reverse:&lt;/p&gt;


&lt;div class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex-display"&gt;&lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;β(t,u)=∑d∈D,d≥1P(∅,d∣t,u)⋅β(t+d,u)+∑d∈DP(yu+1,d∣t,u)⋅β(t+d,u+1)\beta(t, u) = \sum_{d \in \mathcal{D}, d \geq 1} P(\varnothing, d \mid t, u) \cdot \beta(t+d, u) + \sum_{d \in \mathcal{D}} P(y_{u+1}, d \mid t, u) \cdot \beta(t+d, u+1)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;β&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mop op-limits"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;d&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel mtight"&gt;∈&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathcal mtight"&gt;D&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct mtight"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;d&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel mtight"&gt;≥&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="mop op-symbol large-op"&gt;∑&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord amsrm"&gt;∅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;d&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;⋅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;β&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;+&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;d&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;+&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mop op-limits"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;d&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel mtight"&gt;∈&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathcal mtight"&gt;D&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="mop op-symbol large-op"&gt;∑&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;y&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin mtight"&gt;+&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;d&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;⋅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;β&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;+&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;d&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;+&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;


&lt;p&gt;The gradient computation uses both 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;α\alpha&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;α&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 and 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;β\beta&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;β&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 in the standard way, summing over each possible duration for a given token prediction and scaling by the duration probabilities (
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;PDP_D&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;D&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
). For the &lt;strong&gt;token logit&lt;/strong&gt;, the gradient at position 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;(t,u,v)(t, u, v)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;v&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 is:&lt;/p&gt;


&lt;div class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex-display"&gt;&lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;∂L∂PT(v∣t,u)=−∑(t′,u′)∈Ct,uα(t,u)⋅β(t′,u′)⋅PD(t′−t∣t,u)P(y∣X)\frac{\partial \mathcal{L}}{\partial P_T(v \mid t, u)} = -\sum_{(t', u') \in C_{t,u}} \frac{\alpha(t,u) \cdot \beta(t',u') \cdot P_D(t'-t \mid t, u)}{P(\mathbf{y} \mid \mathbf{X})}&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mopen nulldelimiter"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mfrac"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;∂&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;T&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;v&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="frac-line"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;∂&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathcal"&gt;L&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose nulldelimiter"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;−&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mop op-limits"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mopen mtight"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size3 size1 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;′&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct mtight"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size3 size1 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;′&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose mtight"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel mtight"&gt;∈&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;C&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size3 size1 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct mtight"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="mop op-symbol large-op"&gt;∑&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mopen nulldelimiter"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mfrac"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf"&gt;y&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf"&gt;X&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="frac-line"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;α&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;⋅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;β&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;′&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;′&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;⋅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;D&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;′&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;−&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose nulldelimiter"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;


&lt;p&gt;where 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;Ct,uC_{t,u}&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;C&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct mtight"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 is the set of reachable states from 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;(t,u)(t, u)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
:&lt;/p&gt;


&lt;div class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex-display"&gt;&lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;C=(t+d,u+1)∣d∈0…D⏟next token yu  ∪  (t+d,u)∣d∈1…D⏟blank ∅C = \underbrace{{(t + d, u+1) \mid d \in {0 \ldots D}}}_{\text{next token } y_u} \;\cup\; \underbrace{{(t + d, u) \mid d \in {1 \ldots D}}}_{\text{blank } \varnothing}&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;C&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord munder"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord text mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;next token &lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;y&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size3 size1 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord munder"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span class="svg-align"&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="stretchy"&gt;&lt;span class="brace-left"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="brace-center"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="brace-right"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;+&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;d&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;+&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;d&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∈&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;0&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="minner"&gt;…&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;D&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;∪&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord munder"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord text mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;blank &lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord amsrm mtight"&gt;∅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord munder"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span class="svg-align"&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="stretchy"&gt;&lt;span class="brace-left"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="brace-center"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="brace-right"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;+&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;d&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;d&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∈&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="minner"&gt;…&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;D&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;


&lt;p&gt;&lt;a href="https://media2.dev.to/dynamic/image/width=800%2Cheight=%2Cfit=scale-down%2Cgravity=auto%2Cformat=auto/https%3A%2F%2Fdev-to-uploads.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fuploads%2Farticles%2Fg96d3k5gnfjhiz7k5l76.jpg" class="article-body-image-wrapper"&gt;&lt;img src="https://media2.dev.to/dynamic/image/width=800%2Cheight=%2Cfit=scale-down%2Cgravity=auto%2Cformat=auto/https%3A%2F%2Fdev-to-uploads.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fuploads%2Farticles%2Fg96d3k5gnfjhiz7k5l76.jpg" alt="Image 9"&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;In this case, to count the paths affected by the chance of predicting e.g. "fox", we have 4 possible lattice transitions to count, and 3 possible transitions for the blank token 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;∅\varnothing&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord amsrm"&gt;∅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;For the &lt;strong&gt;duration logits&lt;/strong&gt;, the gradient at position 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;(t,u,d)(t, u, d)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;d&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 accounts for all transitions that use duration 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;dd&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;d&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
, either the correct token or a blank transition:&lt;/p&gt;


&lt;div class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex-display"&gt;&lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;∂L∂PD(d&amp;gt;0∣t,u)=−α(t,u)⋅β(t+d,u+1)⋅PT(yu+1∣t,u)P(y∣X)−α(t,u)⋅β(t+d,u)⋅PT(∅∣t,u)P(y∣X)\frac{\partial \mathcal{L}}{\partial P_D(d_{&amp;gt;0} \mid t, u)} = - \frac{\alpha(t,u) \cdot \beta(t+d, u+1) \cdot P_T(y_{u+1} \mid t, u)}{P(\mathbf{y} \mid \mathbf{X})} - \frac{\alpha(t,u) \cdot \beta(t+d, u) \cdot P_T(\varnothing \mid t, u)}{P(\mathbf{y} \mid \mathbf{X})}&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mopen nulldelimiter"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mfrac"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;∂&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;D&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;d&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mrel mtight"&gt;&amp;gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;0&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="frac-line"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;∂&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathcal"&gt;L&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose nulldelimiter"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;−&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mopen nulldelimiter"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mfrac"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf"&gt;y&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf"&gt;X&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="frac-line"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;α&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;⋅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;β&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;+&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;d&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;+&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;⋅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;T&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;y&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin mtight"&gt;+&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose nulldelimiter"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;−&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mopen nulldelimiter"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mfrac"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf"&gt;y&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf"&gt;X&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="frac-line"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;α&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;⋅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;β&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;+&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;d&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;⋅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;T&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord amsrm"&gt;∅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose nulldelimiter"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;


&lt;p&gt;or for 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;d=0d=0&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;d&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;0&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 (blank not allowed at zero duration):&lt;/p&gt;


&lt;div class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex-display"&gt;&lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;∂L∂PD(d=0∣t,u)=−α(t,u)⋅β(t,u+1)⋅PT(yu+1∣t,u)P(y∣X)\frac{\partial \mathcal{L}}{\partial P_D(d=0 \mid t, u)} = - \frac{\alpha(t,u) \cdot \beta(t, u+1) \cdot P_T(y_{u+1} \mid t, u)}{P(\mathbf{y} \mid \mathbf{X})}&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mopen nulldelimiter"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mfrac"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;∂&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;D&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;d&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;0&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="frac-line"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;∂&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathcal"&gt;L&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose nulldelimiter"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;=&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;−&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mopen nulldelimiter"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mfrac"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf"&gt;y&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathbf"&gt;X&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="frac-line"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;α&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;⋅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;β&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;+&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;⋅&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;P&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;T&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;y&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="msupsub"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-t vlist-t2"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class="pstrut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal mtight"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin mtight"&gt;+&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mtight"&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mrel"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-s"&gt;​&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="vlist-r"&gt;&lt;span class="vlist"&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose nulldelimiter"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;


&lt;p&gt;This too is somewhat intuitive. It represents the sum over all valid paths that use this duration. Now we're done! This is all the maths required to understand the efficient TDT training mechanics. For the full derivation see the TDT paper.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;h4&gt;
  
  
  Some More Training Tricks
&lt;/h4&gt;

&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Working in Log-space:&lt;/strong&gt; As is usual in machine learning when working with probabilities, we use log-space. Big summations of log probabilities are much more stable than big products of raw probabilities.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;The Sigma Trick - Logit Under-Normalization:&lt;/strong&gt; Every transition in the lattice, whether blank or token, gets penalized by 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;σ\sigma&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;σ&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 (typically 0.05) in log-space. Since this penalty is applied &lt;em&gt;per transition&lt;/em&gt;, paths with more steps accumulate a larger total penalty. This biases the model toward using fewer, larger-duration steps rather than many duration-1 steps.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;The Omega Trick - Sampled RNN-T Loss:&lt;/strong&gt; with probability 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;ω\omega&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;ω&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
, the loss falls back to the standard RNN-T loss (ignoring durations entirely). This acts as a regularizer, ensuring the token predictions remain well-calibrated even without duration information. This is important for the batched inference case, where we will have to increment the entire batch encoder-frame by the same amount (e.g. the minimum predicted token duration).&lt;/p&gt;




&lt;h2&gt;
  
  
  Practical Considerations and Pitfalls
&lt;/h2&gt;

&lt;h3&gt;
  
  
  Training Memory
&lt;/h3&gt;

&lt;p&gt;TDT has the same memory footprint challenge as standard RNN-T: the joint network output is a 4D tensor of shape 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;(B,T,U,V+∣D∣)(B, T, U, V + |\mathcal{D}|)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;B&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;T&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;U&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;V&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mbin"&gt;+&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathcal"&gt;D&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
. For large vocabularies and long sequences, this can be enormous. The standard mitigation is &lt;strong&gt;fused loss computation&lt;/strong&gt; - instead of materializing the full joint tensor, compute the loss and gradients in a fused kernel that only materializes one 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;(t,u)(t, u)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;(&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;t&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;u&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 slice at a time. Also, it's typically important to keep the vocab-size small - the above example uses full words, but a smaller vocab of sub-words is usually preferable.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;h3&gt;
  
  
  Duration Set Design
&lt;/h3&gt;

&lt;p&gt;The choice of duration set 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;D\mathcal{D}&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathcal"&gt;D&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 matters. The paper uses 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;0,1,2,3,4{0, 1, 2, 3, 4}&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;0&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;2&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;3&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mpunct"&gt;,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mspace"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;4&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 as the default. Some considerations:&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;ul&gt;
&lt;li&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;Must include 1&lt;/strong&gt;: Duration 1 is needed to recover standard single-frame advancement. Duration 0 is optional - it allows token emission without frame advancement (useful for fast speech), but some configurations omit it.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;Larger durations = more skipping&lt;/strong&gt;: The model learns when to use large skips vs. small ones. In practice, the model is conservative enough that large durations don't cause problems.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;More durations = slightly slower training&lt;/strong&gt;: The forward-backward complexity scales linearly with 
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;∣D∣|\mathcal{D}|&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathcal"&gt;D&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
, though with typical set sizes (4–5 elements) this is a small constant factor.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;/ul&gt;

&lt;h3&gt;
  
  
  Comparison with Multi-Blank Transducer
&lt;/h3&gt;

&lt;p&gt;TDT is related to but distinct from the &lt;a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/2211.03541" rel="noopener noreferrer"&gt;Multi-Blank Transducer&lt;/a&gt;, which adds multiple blank symbols (big-blank-2, big-blank-3, etc.) that skip different numbers of frames. The key difference:&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;div class="table-wrapper-paragraph"&gt;&lt;table&gt;
&lt;thead&gt;
&lt;tr&gt;
&lt;th&gt;&lt;/th&gt;
&lt;th&gt;Multi-Blank&lt;/th&gt;
&lt;th&gt;TDT&lt;/th&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;/thead&gt;
&lt;tbody&gt;
&lt;tr&gt;
&lt;td&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Duration prediction&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td&gt;Implicit (via blank type)&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td&gt;Explicit (separate head)&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr&gt;
&lt;td&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Token durations&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td&gt;Always 0 (no frame skip on token)&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td&gt;Variable (tokens can skip frames too)&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr&gt;
&lt;td&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Vocab size increase&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td&gt;
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;∣D∣\lvert \mathcal{D} \rvert&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mopen"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathcal"&gt;D&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mclose"&gt;∣&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
 blank symbols&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td&gt;No vocab increase; separate duration head&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr&gt;
&lt;td&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Independence&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td&gt;Token and duration coupled&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td&gt;Token and duration independently normalized&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;/tbody&gt;
&lt;/table&gt;&lt;/div&gt;

&lt;p&gt;TDT's independent normalization means the model doesn't need to use vocabulary capacity on multiple blank symbols, and the duration prediction can be more fine-grained.&lt;/p&gt;




&lt;h2&gt;
  
  
  Summary
&lt;/h2&gt;

&lt;p&gt;TDT extends RNN-T by jointly predicting tokens and their durations. The key ideas are:&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;ol&gt;
&lt;li&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;Two-headed joint network&lt;/strong&gt;: independently predict token and duration distributions&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;Variable-stride lattice&lt;/strong&gt;: transitions can skip multiple frames, not just one&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;Modified forward-backward&lt;/strong&gt;: same algorithm structure, just summing over durations at each step&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;Training tricks&lt;/strong&gt;: logit under-normalization (
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;σ\sigma&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;σ&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
) and sampled RNN-T loss (
&lt;span class="katex-element"&gt;
  &lt;span class="katex"&gt;&lt;span class="katex-mathml"&gt;ω\omega&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="katex-html"&gt;&lt;span class="base"&gt;&lt;span class="strut"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="mord mathnormal"&gt;ω&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;
&lt;/span&gt;
) for stable training&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;/ol&gt;

&lt;p&gt;The result: models that are &lt;strong&gt;up to 2.82x faster&lt;/strong&gt; at inference with &lt;strong&gt;comparable or better accuracy&lt;/strong&gt; than standard transducers - and RNN-T was already fast to begin with. This is how Nvidia's Parakeet-TDT models dominate the RTFx column at the top of the HuggingFace leaderboard.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;The &lt;a href="https://github.com/NVIDIA/NeMo" rel="noopener noreferrer"&gt;NeMo toolkit&lt;/a&gt; has a full implementation, and pretrained Parakeet-TDT checkpoints are available on HuggingFace.&lt;/p&gt;




&lt;p&gt;&lt;em&gt;References:&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;ul&gt;
&lt;li&gt;&lt;a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/2304.06795" rel="noopener noreferrer"&gt;Xu et al., "Efficient Sequence Transduction by Jointly Predicting Tokens and Durations", 2023&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;&lt;a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/1211.3711" rel="noopener noreferrer"&gt;Graves, "Sequence Transduction with Recurrent Neural Networks", 2012&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;&lt;a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/2211.03541" rel="noopener noreferrer"&gt;Huang et al., "Multi-blank Transducers for Speech Recognition", 2022&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;&lt;a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/2206.13236" rel="noopener noreferrer"&gt;Kuang et al., "Pruned RNN-T for fast, memory-efficient ASR training", 2022&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;/ul&gt;

</description>
      <category>ai</category>
      <category>discuss</category>
      <category>machinelearning</category>
      <category>learning</category>
    </item>
  </channel>
</rss>
